Tennis · resolved market
ITF Samobor: Andrej Nedic vs Nikita Mashtakov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3bde662d3c425688539847bf9bc85a53d137d7f49cd8bd975e3cfae7c9bb900
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nikita Mashtakovof Andrej Nedic, Nikita Mashtakov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Andrej Nedic | 62c | 2,368$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.42 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 40c | 1,741$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.17 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nikita Mashtakov | 47c | 1,142$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.44 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Nikita Mashtakov | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Andrej Nedic | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 48c | 900$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.84 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nikita Mashtakov | 44c | 769.56$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.27 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Nikita Mashtakov | 24c | 700$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Nikita Mashtakov | 52c | 398.92$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.84 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Andrej Nedic | 66c | 306.2$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.25 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Nikita Mashtakov | 19c | 278.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrej Nedic | 49c | 261.07$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Andrej Nedic | 62c | 248.86$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.29 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nikita Mashtakov | 41c | 231.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.41 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 229.81$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.95 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 51c | 210.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Andrej Nedic | 34c | 179.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Andrej Nedic | 39c | 170$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andrej Nedic | 65c | 161.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Andrej Nedic | 62c | 160.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Andrej Nedic | 62c | 158.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Andrej Nedic | 44c | 158.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 49c | 154.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nikita Mashtakov | 25c | 148.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 147.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Andrej Nedic | 45c | 137.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 40c | 136.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Andrej Nedic | 63c | 114.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 43c | 112.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 57c | 109.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Andrej Nedic | 62c | 97.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Andrej Nedic | 38c | 97.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Andrej Nedic | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 80.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Andrej Nedic | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Andrej Nedic | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Andrej Nedic | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Andrej Nedic | 44c | 72.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Andrej Nedic | 39c | 70.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…cdb2backed Andrej Nedic | 60c | 66.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 46c | 64.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nikita Mashtakov | 24c | 62.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Nikita Mashtakov | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Andrej Nedic | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Nikita Mashtakov | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Andrej Nedic | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Andrej Nedic | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Andrej Nedic | 64c | 40.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Nikita Mashtakov | 41c | 39.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 59c | 35.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Andrej Nedic | 48c | 32.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Andrej Nedic | 63c | 31.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 54c | 27.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Andrej Nedic | 75c | 26.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Nikita Mashtakov | 54c | 24.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed Andrej Nedic | 63c | 21.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Andrej Nedic | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Andrej Nedic | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Nikita Mashtakov | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Andrej Nedic | 63c | 17.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 336 | 61.3%206 W · 130 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.