Tennis · resolved market
Madrid: Laura Samson vs Elena Pridankina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3e9e971574a2df1f5f08d68404ce9f10744d5513f241f91dbbb3b890cb9d101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laura Samsonof Laura Samson, Elena Pridankina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elena Pridankina | 11c | 23,722$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.49 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Laura Samson | 77c | 10,553$8,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Laura Samson | 67c | 4,462$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.53 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Elena Pridankina | 14c | 2,664$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.23 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Elena Pridankina | 34c | 1,398$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.7 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Elena Pridankina | 30c | 1,395$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.81 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elena Pridankina | 30c | 1,057$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.16 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Elena Pridankina | 14c | 999.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Elena Pridankina | 45c | 918.58$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.27 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Elena Pridankina | 19c | 579.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Elena Pridankina | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Elena Pridankina | 24c | 385.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Elena Pridankina | 44c | 256.13$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Elena Pridankina | 17c | 190.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Elena Pridankina | 14c | 167.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Elena Pridankina | 13c | 134.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Laura Samson | 80c | 133.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Elena Pridankina | 10c | 129.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Laura Samson | 79c | 128.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Laura Samson | 79c | 128.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Laura Samson | 79c | 125.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 305 | 55.4%169 W · 136 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Laura Samson | 79c | 118.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Laura Samson | 58c | 110.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Laura Samson | 73c | 110.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Laura Samson | 55c | 106.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Laura Samson | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Elena Pridankina | 14c | 94.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Elena Pridankina | 48c | 91.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Elena Pridankina | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Laura Samson | 78c | 87.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elena Pridankina | 14c | 72.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Elena Pridankina | 36c | 71.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Laura Samson | 68c | 64.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Elena Pridankina | 45c | 64.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elena Pridankina | 42c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Elena Pridankina | 46c | 60.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Laura Samson | 50c | 58.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Elena Pridankina | 21c | 56.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Laura Samson | 53c | 55.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Elena Pridankina | 20c | 52.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…b7b1backed Laura Samson | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Laura Samson | 57c | 37.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Laura Samson | 49c | 35.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Elena Pridankina | 43c | 33.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Laura Samson | 56c | 33.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Laura Samson | 56c | 33.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Laura Samson | 56c | 33.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Laura Samson | 57c | 32.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Laura Samson | 57c | 32.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Laura Samson | 57c | 32.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Laura Samson | 57c | 32.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Laura Samson | 52c | 31.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Laura Samson | 56c | 31.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Laura Samson | 52c | 29.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Laura Samson | 52c | 29.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Laura Samson | 52c | 29.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Laura Samson | 52c | 29.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Laura Samson | 53c | 29.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Laura Samson | 53c | 29.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 298 | 51%152 W · 146 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Laura Samson | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Laura Samson | 70c | 28.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Laura Samson | 60c | 24.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Laura Samson | 78c | 23.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Laura Samson | 57c | 20.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Laura Samson | 55c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.