Tennis · resolved market
Lexington: Alex Bolt vs Abedallah Shelbayh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3fd158d486ca133ac1434fa2f81ea0b0bfe138b852e315a33a6ec34fd58064e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abedallah Shelbayhof Alex Bolt, Abedallah Shelbayh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 50c | 3,991$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.1 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Bolt | 50c | 3,082$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.35 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Bolt | 3c | 2,611$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Alex Bolt | 50c | 619.88$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.74 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 47c | 512$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.36 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 55c | 421.75$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alex Bolt | 47c | 389.75$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.18 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Alex Bolt | 3c | 376.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Alex Bolt | 50c | 353.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alex Bolt | 43c | 321.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alex Bolt | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 50c | 202.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alex Bolt | 45c | 168$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Alex Bolt | 49c | 143.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 49c | 122.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 48c | 110.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alex Bolt | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Alex Bolt | 44c | 103.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Alex Bolt | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Alex Bolt | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Alex Bolt | 42c | 93.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alex Bolt | 53c | 93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 52c | 74.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Alex Bolt | 30c | 71.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Alex Bolt | 30c | 62.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Alex Bolt | 47c | 58.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Alex Bolt | 23c | 54.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Alex Bolt | 51c | 54.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Alex Bolt | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Alex Bolt | 30c | 48.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Alex Bolt | 52c | 46.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Alex Bolt | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 220 | 50.9%112 W · 108 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alex Bolt | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 52c | 35.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alex Bolt | 42c | 35.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Alex Bolt | 34c | 33.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Alex Bolt | 47c | 30.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Alex Bolt | 51c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Alex Bolt | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 50c | 24.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 54c | 21.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Alex Bolt | 48c | 21.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 54c | 20.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Alex Bolt | 52c | 19.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 53c | 18.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.