Golf · resolved market
Will Collin Morikawa make the cut at the 2026 Masters?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb48f3fbfc6b8ecace56631333514ba40e48b1ac623b9dbac7adf32a0a9c33f53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 66c | 3,832$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.39 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 33c | 2,026$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.69 | 225 | 46.7%105 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 37c | 832.58$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.26 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 18c | 510.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7005…c4d5backed No | 40c | 361.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed No | 34c | 258.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…358abacked Yes | 64c | 155.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 34c | 146.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 31c | 108$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…5448backed Yes | 70c | 97.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 33c | 82.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…50f6backed No | 28c | 57.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 51.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Collin Morikawa make the cut at the 2026 Masters?this page
- Will Brandon Holtz make the cut at the 2026 Masters?No won
- Will Brooks Koepka make the cut at the 2026 Masters?Yes won
- Will Bryson DeChambeau make the cut at the 2026 Masters?No won
- Will Dustin Johnson make the cut at the 2026 Masters?Yes won
- Will Jon Rahm make the cut at the 2026 Masters?Yes won
- Will Jordan Spieth make the cut at the 2026 Masters?Yes won
- Will Jose Maria Olazabal make the cut at the 2026 Masters?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy make the cut at the 2026 Masters?Yes won
- Will Min Woo Lee make the cut at the 2026 Masters?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay make the cut at the 2026 Masters?Yes won
- Will Scottie Scheffler make the cut at the 2026 Masters?Yes won
- Will Vijay Singh make the cut at the 2026 Masters?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.