Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb49698fe4aa25f6d95200458d1b50b7ab51dc56f67e6976451768cc714c90562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,075$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.89 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 5c | 1,028$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 13c | 959.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 17c | 747.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 3c | 613.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 10c | 585.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 7c | 550.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 7c | 531.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 11c | 476.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 386.71$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Yes | 7c | 368.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…8208backed Yes | 10c | 366.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 307.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 65c | 306.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 14c | 283.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 12c | 274.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…43b6backed Yes | 15c | 266$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…f97abacked Yes | 33c | 247.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 127 | 17.3%22 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5ba7backed Yes | 9c | 202.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…8f7abacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 5c | 189.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 8c | 185.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 28c | 183.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 35c | 183.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 182.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 33c | 180.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…383cbacked Yes | 9c | 156.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 37c | 147.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…760bbacked Yes | 38c | 146.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 19c | 141.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 27c | 133.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 23c | 120.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…4c7abacked Yes | 29c | 117.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 32c | 108.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 11c | 101.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…38aebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 13c | 99.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…9ed6backed No | 80c | 98.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…785ebacked Yes | 24c | 97.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 14c | 97.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 14c | 93.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed Yes | 20c | 92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 15c | 88.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…3923backed Yes | 22c | 88.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -80%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 74c | 87.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 35c | 86.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 38c | 85.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 67c | 84.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 65c | 78.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 26c | 78.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 67c | 78.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…2623backed Yes | 35c | 73.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…24e3backed Yes | 28c | 67.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 17c | 65.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…91d5backed Yes | 35c | 63.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 32c | 62.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 69c | 61.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 56.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3310…545dbacked Yes | 19c | 56.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 52.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…368ebacked No | 79c | 51.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…f0c2backed Yes | 21c | 49.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a99…1838backed No | 80c | 49.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0675…1ec0backed No | 70c | 47.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 71c | 47.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 66c | 46.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 68c | 43.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 64c | 41.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 70c | 41.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…f4d3backed No | 68c | 35.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 247 | 70%173 W · 74 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…6f96backed No | 78c | 31.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 123 | 74%91 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe06…d8d8backed Yes | 36c | 31.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05a…d78fbacked No | 78c | 27.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 126 | 70.6%89 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 67c | 27.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 67c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked No | 68c | 24.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…6366backed No | 62c | 22.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 77c | 21.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…95c4backed No | 80c | 18.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…ec06backed No | 78c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked No | 73c | 13.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.