Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe83801d37b1b86e4401c9b48c697606282dc3d71011548586985e12901707c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b7c…7f28backed No | 4c | 762.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 68c | 594.6$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.34 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 17c | 425.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 10c | 405.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 41c | 359.21$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed No | 6c | 337.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 12c | 327.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 24c | 320.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 37c | 311.53$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 41c | 307.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.47 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 65c | 306.24$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.06 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 41c | 292.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed No | 21c | 287.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…846cbacked Yes | 51c | 280$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…2e48backed Yes | 50c | 272.41$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 59c | 254.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 56c | 202.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…e901backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 29c | 191.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.87 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 183.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 53c | 179.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 6c | 168.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb9…901ebacked No | 65c | 164.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 35c | 159.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 41c | 159.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 37c | 141.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 49c | 138.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 57c | 129.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 35c | 126.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…1f10backed Yes | 75c | 112.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 70 | 70%49 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 109.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 50c | 109.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 53c | 107.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 104.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed No | 21c | 104$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…0c67backed Yes | 45c | 98.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 54c | 97.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3a…08d7backed Yes | 80c | 90.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 49c | 90.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 34c | 89.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…7b02backed Yes | 53c | 87.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 20c | 85.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 45c | 84.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 34c | 83.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 37c | 75.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 39c | 68.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 47c | 67.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0534…5a8dbacked Yes | 67c | 64.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…b81fbacked Yes | 51c | 63.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…8208backed No | 26c | 60.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 40c | 59.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…9936backed Yes | 55c | 57.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…4c7abacked Yes | 52c | 54.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 37c | 51.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd54b…b008backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…3d8bbacked No | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 39c | 48.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 39c | 46.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…18e2backed Yes | 30c | 46.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +26.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 38c | 46.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…c9eebacked Yes | 62c | 44.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…7136backed Yes | 50c | 41.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e95…b147backed Yes | 46c | 41.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 71c | 41.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5851…db4ebacked Yes | 46c | 40.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 64c | 38.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed No | 50c | 38.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 54c | 36.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06c8…bdddbacked Yes | 44c | 36.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed Yes | 34c | 35.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…9014backed Yes | 51c | 35.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 35.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked No | 61c | 33.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 69c | 32.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 59c | 32.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 50c | 32.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…3db6backed Yes | 50c | 31.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 54c | 30.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…c73bbacked Yes | 80c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed Yes | 51c | 30.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 37c | 29.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 51c | 29.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 40c | 29.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 28.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…2f2bbacked Yes | 40c | 27.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 50c | 27.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…ab7dbacked No | 53c | 25.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…9cd6backed Yes | 79c | 24.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.