Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bucharest: Freddy Murray vs Robert Guna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4e6f3aa75fe78a4f872675f45ff58ef18f128d018c00309dc52594bdabded94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Freddy Murrayof Freddy Murray, Robert Guna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Robert Guna | 12c | 3,807$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.2 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Robert Guna | 29c | 1,616$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.68 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Freddy Murray | 33c | 1,487$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.32 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Freddy Murray | 9c | 680.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.08 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Robert Guna | 37c | 460.72$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.56 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Robert Guna | 17c | 440.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Robert Guna | 13c | 333$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Robert Guna | 24c | 297.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Robert Guna | 24c | 190.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Robert Guna | 38c | 139.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Robert Guna | 32c | 132.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Robert Guna | 9c | 127.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Robert Guna | 59c | 123.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Robert Guna | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…33cfbacked Freddy Murray | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Robert Guna | 19c | 96.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Robert Guna | 22c | 92.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Freddy Murray | 64c | 82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Robert Guna | 33c | 67.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Robert Guna | 27c | 59.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Robert Guna | 32c | 49.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Freddy Murray | 70c | 48.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Robert Guna | 49c | 43.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Freddy Murray | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Robert Guna | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Robert Guna | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Robert Guna | 56c | 21.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Robert Guna | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Robert Guna | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.