Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Dynamo Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb50b9f844da38439b9f9aebeecc307f4c4304b77bb421459b1ebc39b551305bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nightblood Gamingof Nightblood Gaming, Dynamo Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Nightblood Gaming | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Dynamo Esports | 36c | 5,037$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Dynamo Esports | 38c | 1,431$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.25 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dynamo Esports | 36c | 1,025$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.03 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Dynamo Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Dynamo Esports | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Dynamo Esports | 37c | 499.75$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.91 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dynamo Esports | 24c | 342.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Dynamo Esports | 36c | 297.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dynamo Esports | 30c | 263.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Dynamo Esports | 37c | 173.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nightblood Gaming | 63c | 171.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Dynamo Esports | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Dynamo Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Nightblood Gaming | 42c | 95.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dynamo Esports | 33c | 87.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Dynamo Esports | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Dynamo Esports | 41c | 71.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed Dynamo Esports | 37c | 68.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dynamo Esports | 36c | 58.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dynamo Esports | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…317fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 66c | 42.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 66c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…f251backed Dynamo Esports | 36c | 30.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nightblood Gaming | 64c | 21.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed Nightblood Gaming | 58c | 20.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nightblood Gaming | 61c | 17.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Dynamo Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Dynamo Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageNightblood Gaming won
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Dynamo Esports - Map 2 WinnerNightblood Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.