MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb513cbabf896d3baec972004d91396e5973047130a60e9010d1d08887b069412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Doosan Bears, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 499.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 374.23$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.73 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 321.49$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Doosan Bears | 40c | 299.01$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 294.04$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 259.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kia Tigers | 65c | 205.65$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 204.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 183.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 21c | 177.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 144.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 123.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Doosan Bears | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f1…1c7abacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Doosan Bears | 18c | 88.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Doosan Bears | 17c | 79.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Doosan Bears | 41c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 58.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 49.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…2c37backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…289cbacked Doosan Bears | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 40.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…81c7backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 35.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 33.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kia Tigers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.