South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb521131106d83f37f2fdbf1d88d27becbbc4338ae8f1fce78f726e4323273448
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 79c | 2,975$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 76c | 2,301$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.19 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 78c | 1,486$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 75c | 1,294$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.36 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 26c | 1,293$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.94 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 18c | 1,255$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.78 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 24c | 1,184$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.16 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,104$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.5 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 23c | 1,097$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.73 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed No | 1c | 1,084$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 21c | 1,063$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.46 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 23c | 962$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.54 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 76c | 931.06$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.71 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 24c | 919.97$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 4c | 890$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 23c | 712.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.61 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 27c | 602$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 23c | 594.16$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 78c | 558.23$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed No | 6c | 533.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 494.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed No | 22c | 460.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 23c | 414.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 26c | 411.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed No | 11c | 409.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 21c | 366.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 28c | 354.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 75c | 334.65$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 14c | 326.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 75c | 311.74$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 294.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked No | 24c | 253.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed No | 22c | 227.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed No | 26c | 199.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 10c | 178.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 78c | 167.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 77c | 161.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked No | 22c | 153$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked No | 21c | 139.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 73c | 133.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 22c | 111.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 17c | 101.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 78c | 98.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 17c | 87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 27c | 85.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 22c | 79.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 69c | 74.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 74c | 61.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 69c | 44.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 75c | 38.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 70c | 27.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…01debacked Yes | 73c | 27.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 73c | 25.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Yes | 77c | 13.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-19?this page
- Will Club Libertad win on 2026-05-19?No won
- Will Independiente del Valle vs. Club Libertad end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.