TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Damajuana vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Playersof Damajuana, Players
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,950 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Players20c6,413$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,151.962,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Players29c2,079$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.73,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x928a…8044backed Players69c1,911$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.9120358.6%119 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Players59c1,534$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.8449646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Players62c1,339$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.211,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Damajuana2c1,050$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42620%0 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Damajuana2c1,050$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.429020%18 W · 72 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Damajuana2c1,050$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.427920.3%16 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Damajuana2c1,050$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42751.3%1 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Players78c798.42$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.392,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Damajuana1c750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Damajuana1c750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Damajuana17c645.9$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4614137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Damajuana27c551.45$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4716920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Damajuana15c504$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.412,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Players4c487$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.5242427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Damajuana35c341.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.143,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Damajuana36c339$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.513,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Damajuana13c305$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1536334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Damajuana17c290.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2348635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Damajuana6c286.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.611102.7%3 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Players79c266.97$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.225,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Damajuana25c249.39$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.622534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Players58c236$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.932,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Players61c225.17$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.316,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Damajuana18c183.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5139946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Players32c168.75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.238436.9%31 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Damajuana29c159$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4638942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Players74c152.71$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.414,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Players37c142.84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.015,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Players62c140.45$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5179951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Damajuana25c134.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.162,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Players72c130.6$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.964,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Damajuana16c114.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.884,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Damajuana74c104.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7814339.9%57 W · 86 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb701…a9e1backed Players54c103$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.765265.4%34 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Damajuana22c102.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.162,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Damajuana17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1726246.9%123 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Damajuana28c98.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1972139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Damajuana26c83.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4516829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Damajuana20c76.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0927015.2%41 W · 229 L-41.9wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-54.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1378…681bbacked Damajuana32c74.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Players65c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.864439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Players54c59.53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.42,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Players61c59.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2923038.3%88 W · 142 L-15.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f05…eeb3backed Players78c53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.668365.1%54 W · 29 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Damajuana26c52.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2548…17a3backed Damajuana59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc630…107bbacked Damajuana30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Players57c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.49970.7%70 W · 29 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Damajuana37c32.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9940635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Players80c29.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9216155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Damajuana64c28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.852,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8963…c780backed Damajuana51c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.281118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-71.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54d7…55c2backed Damajuana48c22.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.959149.5%45 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Players50c20.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.384,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Players63c17.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3396543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.