NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5670dda32109f577b3b4e49683d089c84b37c6476f99e9e0b32d12704ac15b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Sabres, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Sabres | 47c | 16,609$7,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,869.13 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 53c | 11,086$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.8 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Sabres | 10c | 9,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lightning | 61c | 8,482$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.13 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Lightning | 71c | 3,381$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.31 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sabres | 32c | 3,033$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.23 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Lightning | 68c | 2,700$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sabres | 32c | 2,403$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Sabres | 31c | 1,943$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.33 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Sabres | 33c | 1,739$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.25 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 33c | 1,719$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.75 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Lightning | 67c | 1,614$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.68 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Sabres | 53c | 946.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Lightning | 57c | 933.44$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.44 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 29c | 712.31$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.72 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 47c | 693.37$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.49 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Sabres | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Sabres | 31c | 599$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.69 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Sabres | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres | 33c | 463.24$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…aeefbacked Sabres | 33c | 393$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99f…67e5backed Lightning | 67c | 393$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…0327backed Lightning | 67c | 390$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc310…4d92backed Sabres | 33c | 389.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…3769backed Lightning | 67c | 388$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…2f58backed Sabres | 33c | 388$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…d3e7backed Lightning | 67c | 381$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3f…7da7backed Sabres | 33c | 381$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e15…c621backed Sabres | 33c | 374$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…a0bcbacked Lightning | 67c | 374$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…de6bbacked Lightning | 67c | 327$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…f6fdbacked Sabres | 33c | 327$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Sabres | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…2f8fbacked Lightning | 67c | 309$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…2eecbacked Sabres | 33c | 309$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Sabres | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13d…3083backed Sabres | 33c | 296$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66a…8e70backed Lightning | 67c | 296$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres | 7c | 242.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 68c | 224.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…6fd0backed Sabres | 33c | 222$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…bfecbacked Sabres | 31c | 199.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 42c | 188.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sabres | 32c | 187.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Sabres | 6c | 165$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…d482backed Lightning | 70c | 163.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Sabres | 16c | 160.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Sabres | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…697fbacked Lightning | 70c | 148.27$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Lightning | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Lightning | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…5adebacked Lightning | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Lightning | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sabres | 30c | 117$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Lightning | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 70c | 107.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…9d0cbacked Sabres | 32c | 106.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 67c | 104.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lightning | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…a3bdbacked Lightning | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Lightning | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Sabres | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Lightning | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…137fbacked Sabres | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…eb3fbacked Sabres | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Sabres | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…16fbbacked Sabres | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…6429backed Lightning | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres | 32c | 97.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f6…30f0backed Sabres | 33c | 91.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3de…12a5backed Sabres | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5725…0069backed Lightning | 69c | 82.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cc…0cd2backed Lightning | 53c | 81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…b415backed Sabres | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Sabres | 32c | 74.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…1833backed Lightning | 68c | 73.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Lightning | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Lightning | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Lightning | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…4622backed Sabres | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…ec4cbacked Sabres | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Sabres | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34aa…980abacked Lightning | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sabres | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Sabres | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a8f9backed Lightning | 70c | 52.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0c5abacked Sabres | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Lightning | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0498…52c5backed Lightning | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Sabres | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lightning | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Lightning | 71c | 49.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329b…c012backed Sabres | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…d41dbacked Sabres | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070e…3518backed Lightning | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…e5e9backed Sabres | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.