NBA · resolved market
Jaylen Brown 2024 NBA Finals MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5cc05def9cf0fc7a40704561309b127025ab76fdcb36be250e1a66f8d5ce73f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x361e…60b0backed Yes | 47c | 36,603$17,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,279.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 56c | 6,600$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 2c | 6,006$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd04…fcd4backed Yes | 78c | 1,406$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 59c | 1,218$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.5 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…5d7fbacked No | 23c | 1,140$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 13c | 911.54$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.54 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…8633backed Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…6084backed Yes | 13c | 653.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d2…62e0backed Yes | 39c | 591.58$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 22c | 556$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.68 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7d…9e02backed Yes | 79c | 466$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 32c | 374$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.32 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…77e6backed Yes | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…958cbacked Yes | 42c | 230.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3141…8824backed Yes | 80c | 207.15$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 30c | 149.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…a1e2backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…5a5fbacked Yes | 79c | 141.92$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…5e85backed Yes | 79c | 139.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421f…0047backed Yes | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ff2dbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yes | 71c | 111$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bda…9966backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…25a3backed Yes | 39c | 94.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…2a5dbacked Yes | 79c | 85.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f7…3d7dbacked Yes | 77c | 84.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5def…7b78backed Yes | 77c | 81.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…6c5cbacked Yes | 80c | 72.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…ce25backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…dbacbacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…2332backed Yes | 77c | 55.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 43c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…0acabacked Yes | 79c | 40.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1648…af86backed Yes | 59c | 33.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…dbb6backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…94c6backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2680…7ed8backed Yes | 79c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…8698backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…9860backed Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…0513backed Yes | 77c | 14.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…b621backed Yes | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jaylen Brown 2024 NBA Finals MVP?this page
- Al Horford 2024 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Jayson Tatum 2024 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Jrue Holiday 2024 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Kristaps Porzingis 2024 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Kyrie Irving 2024 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Luka Doncic 2024 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.