Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6cd8523cca22ea229a34c909d72ba2e1142103a1ac470b5879e523acb00434c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 0c | 3,664$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 52c | 2,773$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.58 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.53 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Over | 34c | 589.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 48c | 575.49$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.35 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 47c | 325.28$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 48c | 300$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 63c | 230$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…ca8bbacked Over | 51c | 202$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01cf…a424backed Over | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 78c | 100.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…0663backed Over | 53c | 82.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 34c | 69.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Under | 66c | 69.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 289 | 42.6%123 W · 166 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912d…e2bebacked Over | 53c | 64.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 41c | 48.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 55c | 45.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 59c | 35.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 47c | 27.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Oh My God (BO3)LNG Esports won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Oh My God - Game 1 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerLNG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.