Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Alana Subasic vs Deniz Dilek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6dd33618547f5d7000ef16c81e51b0d686e99cab72dd1ddc83a8dfdd2ac2546
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alana Subasicof Alana Subasic, Deniz Dilek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Deniz Dilek | 47c | 15,510$7,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,364.42 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alana Subasic | 51c | 9,473$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,630.94 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alana Subasic | 54c | 2,114$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.73 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alana Subasic | 54c | 1,322$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.23 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alana Subasic | 47c | 1,080$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Alana Subasic | 55c | 1,050$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.5 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alana Subasic | 51c | 955.87$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.86 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alana Subasic | 43c | 639.01$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.34 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alana Subasic | 33c | 451.66$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.61 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Deniz Dilek | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Alana Subasic | 56c | 376.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.14 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Deniz Dilek | 55c | 364.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Deniz Dilek | 58c | 345.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Deniz Dilek | 61c | 283$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Deniz Dilek | 62c | 230.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alana Subasic | 52c | 220.06$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alana Subasic | 34c | 211.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Deniz Dilek | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…2b32backed Deniz Dilek | 66c | 165.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.21 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Alana Subasic | 54c | 127.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Alana Subasic | 57c | 127$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alana Subasic | 49c | 113.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Deniz Dilek | 35c | 105.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Deniz Dilek | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Alana Subasic | 54c | 92.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Deniz Dilek | 59c | 91.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Deniz Dilek | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Deniz Dilek | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Deniz Dilek | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Deniz Dilek | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Deniz Dilek | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Deniz Dilek | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Deniz Dilek | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Deniz Dilek | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Deniz Dilek | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Deniz Dilek | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Deniz Dilek | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed Deniz Dilek | 60c | 76.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Alana Subasic | 56c | 76.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alana Subasic | 63c | 71.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Alana Subasic | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Alana Subasic | 54c | 64.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Alana Subasic | 56c | 62.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Alana Subasic | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Deniz Dilek | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Deniz Dilek | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked Deniz Dilek | 66c | 47.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Alana Subasic | 54c | 35.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alana Subasic | 61c | 31.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Alana Subasic | 69c | 30.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Deniz Dilek | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Alana Subasic | 56c | 30.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Alana Subasic | 55c | 26.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Alana Subasic | 51c | 25.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Deniz Dilek | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Alana Subasic | 57c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Deniz Dilek | 66c | 15.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Kayseri: Alana Subasic vs Deniz Dilekthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Subasic vs DilekSubasic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.