Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham 3: Johannus Monday vs Henry Searle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6f5a084edeacc3ab3e5730881ad70f201b85a31d2ef400cd6902a256150def7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henry Searleof Johannus Monday, Henry Searle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Johannus Monday | 8c | 7,718$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Johannus Monday | 7c | 4,808$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Johannus Monday | 13c | 3,722$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Henry Searle | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Johannus Monday | 29c | 2,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Johannus Monday | 21c | 1,316$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Johannus Monday | 29c | 761.14$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Johannus Monday | 12c | 693$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Henry Searle | 70c | 625.95$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Johannus Monday | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Johannus Monday | 13c | 477.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Johannus Monday | 6c | 399.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Henry Searle | 80c | 383$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Johannus Monday | 9c | 348.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Johannus Monday | 31c | 326.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Johannus Monday | 31c | 281.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Johannus Monday | 8c | 277.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Johannus Monday | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Johannus Monday | 22c | 236.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Henry Searle | 70c | 195.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Johannus Monday | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Johannus Monday | 33c | 183.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Henry Searle | 70c | 172$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Johannus Monday | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Henry Searle | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Johannus Monday | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Henry Searle | 70c | 106.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Johannus Monday | 24c | 94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…f1d3backed Johannus Monday | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Johannus Monday | 29c | 84.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39f…8506backed Johannus Monday | 33c | 76.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Johannus Monday | 30c | 72.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Johannus Monday | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Henry Searle | 72c | 59.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Henry Searle | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Henry Searle | 70c | 25.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Henry Searle | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Henry Searle | 69c | 24.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Henry Searle | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Henry Searle | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Henry Searle | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Henry Searle | 70c | 17.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed Henry Searle | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham 3: Johannus Monday vs Henry Searlethis page
- Monday vs. Searle: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Monday vs. Searle: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Monday vs. Searle: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.