Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Vacherot (-1.5) vs Hurkacz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7aaf29c5660b36fd7ea7afe1d2590bfb02da5e0943cdff4feeebc443ec2ddfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurkaczof Vacherot, Hurkacz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Vacherot | 31c | 3,885$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.46 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Vacherot | 2c | 2,400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Vacherot | 2c | 1,900$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vacherot | 31c | 1,750$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.6 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Vacherot | 39c | 1,553$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.62 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hurkacz | 47c | 1,531$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.97 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Vacherot | 64c | 1,523$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.73 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Vacherot | 3c | 1,375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Vacherot | 37c | 1,308$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.03 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Vacherot | 33c | 675.18$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.81 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Vacherot | 39c | 612.92$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hurkacz | 45c | 593.09$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.41 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Hurkacz | 67c | 515.97$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Vacherot | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hurkacz | 63c | 454.74$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.81 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ce…31b1backed Vacherot | 36c | 400.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked Vacherot | 35c | 397.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hurkacz | 43c | 392.28$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.41 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Vacherot | 31c | 366.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba24…45fabacked Vacherot | 69c | 338.41$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Vacherot | 15c | 266$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Vacherot | 31c | 230.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Vacherot | 57c | 225.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Vacherot | 15c | 213$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Vacherot | 15c | 213$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Hurkacz | 69c | 173.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Vacherot | 35c | 169.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Hurkacz | 65c | 153.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Vacherot | 15c | 139.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…9107backed Hurkacz | 67c | 119.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Hurkacz | 51c | 102.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Vacherot | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hurkacz | 62c | 81.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Vacherot | 38c | 81.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Vacherot | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…aaaebacked Hurkacz | 67c | 76.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Vacherot | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef8…3a02backed Vacherot | 38c | 75.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hurkacz | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Vacherot | 51c | 74.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…11b4backed Hurkacz | 68c | 70.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Vacherot | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Hurkacz | 45c | 68.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Vacherot | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…ff9bbacked Hurkacz | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Hurkacz | 64c | 45.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…566dbacked Hurkacz | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…36fbbacked Hurkacz | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Vacherot | 49c | 39.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hurkacz | 67c | 38.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Hurkacz | 45c | 37.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Hurkacz | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Vacherot | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Vacherot | 54c | 25.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…dbb9backed Vacherot | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Vacherot (-1.5) vs Hurkacz (+1.5)this page
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert HurkaczValentin Vacherot won
- Set 1 Winner: Vacherot vs HurkaczHurkacz won
- Vacherot vs. Hurkacz: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Vacherot vs. Hurkacz: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Valentin Vacherot vs. Hubert Hurkacz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.