Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Radford Highlanders vs. Longwood Lancers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7e09b4c908e42ddbef4390e084c0061032686849e08d871aefa41893bed7117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Longwood Lancersof Radford Highlanders, Longwood Lancers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Longwood Lancers | 54c | 6,074$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.92 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Radford Highlanders | 46c | 5,657$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.17 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Radford Highlanders | 54c | 2,989$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.08 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Longwood Lancers | 63c | 2,961$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.1 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Radford Highlanders | 51c | 2,627$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.33 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Radford Highlanders | 48c | 2,218$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.68 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Longwood Lancers | 54c | 2,043$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.82 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Longwood Lancers | 51c | 1,607$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.05 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Radford Highlanders | 51c | 1,390$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.06 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Radford Highlanders | 13c | 1,260$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.74 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Longwood Lancers | 53c | 1,050$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.34 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Longwood Lancers | 54c | 996.26$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.28 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Longwood Lancers | 58c | 859.58$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.01 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Longwood Lancers | 71c | 772.44$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.01 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Radford Highlanders | 24c | 640.35$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Longwood Lancers | 49c | 604.17$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Longwood Lancers | 48c | 549.76$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.02 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Radford Highlanders | 32c | 367.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Radford Highlanders | 47c | 297.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.77 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Radford Highlanders | 63c | 284.26$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.09 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Radford Highlanders | 13c | 205.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Radford Highlanders | 13c | 149.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Radford Highlanders | 12c | 149.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Radford Highlanders | 22c | 131.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Radford Highlanders | 38c | 121.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Radford Highlanders | 48c | 103.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Radford Highlanders | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Radford Highlanders | 14c | 99.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Radford Highlanders | 47c | 96.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Radford Highlanders | 47c | 93.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Radford Highlanders | 18c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Radford Highlanders | 47c | 58.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Radford Highlanders | 28c | 58.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Radford Highlanders | 50c | 55.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Longwood Lancers | 54c | 51.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Longwood Lancers | 54c | 49.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Longwood Lancers | 53c | 48.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Radford Highlanders | 47c | 44.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Radford Highlanders | 47c | 35.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Radford Highlanders | 47c | 31.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Radford Highlanders | 54c | 30.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Radford Highlanders | 53c | 28.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Radford Highlanders | 47c | 27.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Radford Highlanders | 47c | 26.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Radford Highlanders | 48c | 21.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Radford Highlanders | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.