Lol · resolved market
LoL: DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f41bfff83f4d2557a6e278a70e4362c9fed2ccab1820469a4e494f8d967d6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FearX Youthof DRX Challengers, BNK FearX Youth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DRX Challengers | 33c | 2,805$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.52 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked BNK FearX Youth | 75c | 2,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5827…e59ebacked DRX Challengers | 57c | 1,724$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.29 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed BNK FearX Youth | 43c | 1,717$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.01 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed DRX Challengers | 34c | 592.59$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked DRX Challengers | 70c | 581.81$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.93 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed BNK FearX Youth | 48c | 526.75$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.31 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked BNK FearX Youth | 63c | 515.86$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.82 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed BNK FearX Youth | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed BNK FearX Youth | 53c | 474.18$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.18 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed DRX Challengers | 46c | 438.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked BNK FearX Youth | 45c | 347.62$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked DRX Challengers | 44c | 327.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BNK FearX Youth | 44c | 325.43$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked DRX Challengers | 58c | 305.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.09 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked DRX Challengers | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed BNK FearX Youth | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed DRX Challengers | 57c | 209.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked BNK FearX Youth | 50c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DRX Challengers | 56c | 143.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked BNK FearX Youth | 65c | 75.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked BNK FearX Youth | 57c | 73.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked DRX Challengers | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed DRX Challengers | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed DRX Challengers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed BNK FearX Youth | 44c | 31.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked DRX Challengers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed BNK FearX Youth | 77c | 21.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed DRX Challengers | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…8ebbbacked DRX Challengers | 59c | 18.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed BNK FearX Youth | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.