MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb81c191884a9146067a7bf872f8dd3c3ecc6ffa0feee6f7d9e21d23cba7af81c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 44c | 33,320$14,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,748.83 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 18,214$9,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,705.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 17,065$9,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,508.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.94 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 56c | 6,109$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.75 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 56c | 3,915$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 2,818$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Under | 49c | 2,524$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.13 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 52c | 1,926$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.78 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 1,496$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 993$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.81 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 989.59$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.11 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 905.72$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 711$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.28 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 685.66$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 501.77$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Under | 48c | 472.91$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 52c | 460$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 56c | 361.15$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 68c | 358.58$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 266$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 51c | 261.34$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 51c | 254.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Over | 64c | 243.6$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 41c | 241.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Over | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 48c | 200.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 56c | 127.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 40c | 122.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 52c | 100.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 100.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 91.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 52c | 89.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 50c | 83.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 79.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 53c | 75.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 72.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 56c | 71.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 53c | 51.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…7320backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 49.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9d38backed Over | 51c | 47.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked Under | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Under | 47c | 42.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 43c | 41.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…1ac3backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 41c | 37.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 60c | 36.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 64c | 32.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Over | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…de35backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Over | 51c | 26.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 26.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 40c | 25.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…f4f7backed Over | 57c | 25.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…0e06backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 56c | 24.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 61c | 24.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 20.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Over | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…b4a7backed Over | 63c | 18.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Over | 55c | 18.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Over | 63c | 17.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 63c | 15.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.