Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Austria vs Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8464018d288510903dee6d48ab40a7ad0050b40036c51a7febd6299eeed4573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swedenof Austria, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Austria | 23c | 1,309$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.83 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Austria | 34c | 1,284$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.51 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Austria | 62c | 1,146$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.83 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sweden | 79c | 1,136$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.89 | 442 | 41%181 W · 261 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sweden | 67c | 862.99$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.11 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Austria | 32c | 794.49$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.62 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Austria | 45c | 678.78$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 325 | 40.9%133 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Sweden | 37c | 650$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Austria | 11c | 502.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed Sweden | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…9ef1backed Sweden | 59c | 339.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Austria | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Austria | 62c | 310.14$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.39 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sweden | 58c | 269.51$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 432 | 44.2%191 W · 241 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sweden | 37c | 256.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sweden | 36c | 222.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Austria | 60c | 220.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…d3dfbacked Sweden | 74c | 214$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Sweden | 50c | 200.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Austria | 10c | 197.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Sweden | 37c | 196.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Sweden | 46c | 163.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Austria | 14c | 136.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Sweden | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Sweden | 42c | 123.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Sweden | 64c | 105.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Austria | 58c | 103.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 221 | 36.2%80 W · 141 L | -24.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Sweden | 78c | 99.61$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 193 | 65.8%127 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Austria | 64c | 98.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Austria | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Sweden | 39c | 77.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…5838backed Sweden | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Austria | 52c | 72.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Austria | 62c | 71.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Austria | 64c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…a5d4backed Austria | 72c | 60.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Austria | 65c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Austria | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 211 | 36%76 W · 135 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…f0eabacked Austria | 62c | 48.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…dfbdbacked Austria | 41c | 48.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbb…ae06backed Sweden | 54c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…41bbbacked Austria | 63c | 47.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Austria | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Sweden | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Sweden | 38c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Austria | 34c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Austria | 61c | 33.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Austria | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19a4…a65bbacked Austria | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…c9aabacked Austria | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed Austria | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…dc6ebacked Sweden | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Sweden | 36c | 29.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c6…1110backed Sweden | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Austria | 62c | 26.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f93…d39cbacked Sweden | 76c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Austria | 63c | 24.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…20cebacked Austria | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…3fbebacked Sweden | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1613backed Austria | 66c | 17.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Austria | 60c | 17.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Austria | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.