MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb860772318c2350c9bac8dbb01454004231f90c00d7af0ac7f428bc1712ba441
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,300 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x046d…fb68backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 824$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.76 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c0…f3d5backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 599.66$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.02 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81e…962abacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 397.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 326.62$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.62 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 267$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 262$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 146$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 141.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 91.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Detroit Tigers | 73c | 88.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 78.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 75.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 72.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 67.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 67.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 57.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 53.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…df8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 44.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 33.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb112…20d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 31.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Detroit Tigers | 79c | 26.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…ea0bbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.