Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Habos Babos vs GIANTX GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8ef456bc3d3ea5ac000a894cc43edb058cc571a1d308ea4b76d7981fd8db07d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX GCof Habos Babos, GIANTX GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Habos Babos | 66c | 1,053$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.04 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked GIANTX GC | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4806backed Habos Babos | 67c | 584.14$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.62 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Habos Babos | 68c | 564.35$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.26 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed GIANTX GC | 32c | 555.54$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.6 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed GIANTX GC | 33c | 363.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.81 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Habos Babos | 63c | 360$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed GIANTX GC | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Habos Babos | 55c | 210.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GIANTX GC | 69c | 166.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed GIANTX GC | 32c | 153.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.12 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked GIANTX GC | 33c | 151$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Habos Babos | 8c | 147.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed GIANTX GC | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed GIANTX GC | 34c | 135.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed GIANTX GC | 34c | 130.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked GIANTX GC | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Habos Babos | 64c | 118.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked GIANTX GC | 34c | 104.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Habos Babos | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Habos Babos | 36c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Habos Babos | 26c | 81.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX GC | 36c | 78.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…677ebacked Habos Babos | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…e669backed Habos Babos | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Habos Babos | 17c | 71.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed GIANTX GC | 35c | 68.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Habos Babos | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…a65cbacked Habos Babos | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Habos Babos | 64c | 55.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed GIANTX GC | 36c | 52.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed GIANTX GC | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed GIANTX GC | 34c | 49.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked GIANTX GC | 34c | 40.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Habos Babos | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Habos Babos | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Habos Babos | 63c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…98f9backed Habos Babos | 65c | 30.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed GIANTX GC | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GIANTX GC | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6331…850ebacked Habos Babos | 65c | 20.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Habos Babos | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Habos Babos | 68c | 19.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Habos Babos vs GIANTX GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Habos Babos vs GIANTX GC - Map 1 WinnerGIANTX GC won
- Valorant: Habos Babos vs GIANTX GC - Map 2 WinnerGIANTX GC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.