Lol · resolved market
LoL: FALKE Esports vs LUA Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f6c2235958b6d1f0209b1b17c877c276b9d77f2755799884401143be1c16fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LUA Gamingof FALKE Esports, LUA Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c8…cf96backed FALKE Esports | 1c | 29,095$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.11 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed LUA Gaming | 60c | 1,005$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.11 | 1,528 | 50.5%772 W · 756 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed FALKE Esports | 5c | 1,001$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 1,521 | 3.3%50 W · 1,471 L | -54.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked FALKE Esports | 32c | 687.17$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.16 | 890 | 43%383 W · 507 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FALKE Esports | 13c | 592.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 2,839 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,664 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed LUA Gaming | 67c | 591.52$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 1,189 | 52%618 W · 571 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed LUA Gaming | 68c | 440.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 1,232 | 58.1%716 W · 516 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FALKE Esports | 40c | 404$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 2,255 | 33.1%746 W · 1,509 L | -76.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked LUA Gaming | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed FALKE Esports | 16c | 292.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed FALKE Esports | 31c | 263.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 1,229 | 35.9%441 W · 788 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LUA Gaming | 70c | 260$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed FALKE Esports | 31c | 231.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FALKE Esports | 36c | 206$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 3,182 | 33.9%1,079 W · 2,103 L | -151.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed LUA Gaming | 66c | 204.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 715 | 57.2%409 W · 306 L | +37.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked FALKE Esports | 37c | 183.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked FALKE Esports | 16c | 175$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed LUA Gaming | 67c | 172.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 610 | 55.7%340 W · 270 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked LUA Gaming | 64c | 159.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed LUA Gaming | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed LUA Gaming | 68c | 138.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed FALKE Esports | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed FALKE Esports | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FALKE Esports | 30c | 117.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1,925 | 37.1%715 W · 1,210 L | -115.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed LUA Gaming | 65c | 114.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,258 | 54.1%680 W · 578 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed LUA Gaming | 64c | 112.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LUA Gaming | 70c | 109.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 1,954 | 42.4%829 W · 1,125 L | -43.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FALKE Esports | 25c | 94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,491 | 43.5%649 W · 842 L | -32.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FALKE Esports | 37c | 89.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FALKE Esports | 38c | 88.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 2,346 | 39.3%923 W · 1,423 L | -86.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked FALKE Esports | 34c | 73.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 851 | 40.8%347 W · 504 L | -40.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FALKE Esports | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FALKE Esports | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2,248 | 37.3%838 W · 1,410 L | -33.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed FALKE Esports | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed FALKE Esports | 37c | 59.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 631 | 49.9%315 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked LUA Gaming | 62c | 49.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1,535 | 54.9%843 W · 692 L | +40.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked FALKE Esports | 26c | 47.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FALKE Esports | 29c | 45.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,549 | 43.8%679 W · 870 L | -27.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed FALKE Esports | 31c | 41.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked LUA Gaming | 62c | 35.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,507 | 50.4%760 W · 747 L | +72.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed FALKE Esports | 38c | 35.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed LUA Gaming | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 512 | 44.3%227 W · 285 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed LUA Gaming | 72c | 16.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs LUA Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LUA (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)FALKE Esports won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonLUA Gaming won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs LUA Gaming - Game 2 WinnerFALKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.