TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FALKE Esports vs LUA Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FALKE Esportsof FALKE Esports, LUA Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafe8…5f44backed LUA Gaming2c12,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200535.7%3 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-82.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c8…cf96backed LUA Gaming6c4,155$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.147341.1%30 W · 43 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed LUA Gaming59c2,918$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.6151044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed FALKE Esports41c1,672$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.3819041.1%78 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked LUA Gaming1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517610.2%18 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked FALKE Esports73c1,304$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.7754555.2%301 W · 244 L+24.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked FALKE Esports44c1,223$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.632,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked FALKE Esports41c1,141$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.3643442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked LUA Gaming56c1,068$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.691,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed LUA Gaming56c999$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.4456650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LUA Gaming56c753.91$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.192,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed LUA Gaming6c654.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.341,5203.3%50 W · 1,470 L-54.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed FALKE Esports23c645.67$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.3565047.4%308 W · 342 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed FALKE Esports60c605$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.31,18751.9%616 W · 571 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed FALKE Esports41c570.64$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6816942%71 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FALKE Esports36c559.39$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.641,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked LUA Gaming66c514.39$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33996057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed FALKE Esports27c499.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.9986758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked LUA Gaming39c488.03$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9987443.1%377 W · 497 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ce…cc35backed LUA Gaming50c350$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5212552%65 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LUA Gaming57c326.73$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.581,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed FALKE Esports16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25217136.3%62 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed LUA Gaming31c291.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9041945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed FALKE Esports21c288.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7243539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed LUA Gaming57c241.23$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.71,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0f7…aebbbacked FALKE Esports42c240.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7225850.4%130 W · 128 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked FALKE Esports42c235.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7129944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LUA Gaming55c206.47$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.082,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed FALKE Esports20c199.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9953338.6%206 W · 327 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FALKE Esports41c197.46$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.781,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked LUA Gaming63c182.96$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2963646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed FALKE Esports31c181$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.891,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed LUA Gaming53c175$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7574344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe703…37ddbacked LUA Gaming58c170.19$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7115556.1%87 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed LUA Gaming32c166$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.121,01447.6%483 W · 531 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FALKE Esports35c162$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.32,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked FALKE Esports17c151.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5836946.1%170 W · 199 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed LUA Gaming63c151.02$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1439755.4%220 W · 177 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked FALKE Esports45c141.45$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1599756.6%564 W · 433 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed LUA Gaming15c133$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9518116%29 W · 152 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked LUA Gaming58c129.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7528261%172 W · 110 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de2…bdd7backed FALKE Esports43c121.14$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1913421.6%29 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked LUA Gaming60c118.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7127244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5758…e2d8backed LUA Gaming70c112.32$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked FALKE Esports22c106$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.591,47643.6%643 W · 833 L-31.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed FALKE Esports60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4038659.8%231 W · 155 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked LUA Gaming64c99.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4173237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed LUA Gaming61c93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8143040.9%176 W · 254 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed LUA Gaming61c93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8149739.4%196 W · 301 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed FALKE Esports51c88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed LUA Gaming47c87.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6147630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac7b…7cebbacked LUA Gaming59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed LUA Gaming60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,24652.6%656 W · 590 L+4.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed LUA Gaming66c76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1674250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed LUA Gaming51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.61,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa8…6e47backed LUA Gaming63c69.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444768.1%32 W · 15 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed FALKE Esports37c69.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4836647.3%173 W · 193 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FALKE Esports30c66.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.963,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed LUA Gaming60c65.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3975142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed LUA Gaming56c64.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.311,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed LUA Gaming58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.840156.9%228 W · 173 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FALKE Esports37c54.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.061,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed LUA Gaming56c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2434235.7%122 W · 220 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42bb…855abacked LUA Gaming49c53.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed LUA Gaming66c53.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,25554.1%679 W · 576 L-30.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed LUA Gaming57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed LUA Gaming61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5360738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed FALKE Esports46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279115.4%14 W · 77 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked FALKE Esports37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.53514.3%5 W · 30 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-63.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed FALKE Esports40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.051,13130.1%340 W · 791 L-26.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked FALKE Esports36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2542941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked FALKE Esports34c44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0439832.7%130 W · 268 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed FALKE Esports36c42.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4226154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x790c…75e4backed LUA Gaming56c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.159869.4%68 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed LUA Gaming50c37.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7925737%95 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed FALKE Esports62c32.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1812443.5%54 W · 70 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d33…1192backed FALKE Esports40c31.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.212241.8%51 W · 71 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed LUA Gaming42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed FALKE Esports41c26.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5950549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed FALKE Esports58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.423149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed FALKE Esports67c19.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3832650%163 W · 163 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.