NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb98c9a9e0e00682d750e5b3f2ab41f3d96a12ccd2cb21d9a1dd9947bbc4ff210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 60c | 577.26$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.71 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…cbb4backed Under | 41c | 488.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 478.18$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 27c | 270.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 37c | 236$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 24c | 227.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.84 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 40c | 217.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 50c | 201.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 76c | 184.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 106.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 33c | 95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 86.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 62c | 80.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 33c | 77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 36c | 61.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 49c | 51.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 26c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 62c | 42.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…cd92backed Over | 24c | 41.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Under | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 39.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…7ac1backed Under | 76c | 38.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 74c | 28.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 74c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 78c | 22.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…86dfbacked Over | 63c | 18.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…8b95backed Under | 76c | 13.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5this page
- Blues vs. BlackhawksBlues won
- Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.