NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24ea665423e2346d658a08ddfae98f50b5ce41bebf5a9508a31a4b7a6cdc3587
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Blues, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf984…5098backed Blues | 36c | 13,531$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,724.19 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Blackhawks | 64c | 4,030$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.41 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 64c | 2,020$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.79 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Blackhawks | 65c | 1,731$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.07 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Blackhawks | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.1 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Blackhawks | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Blackhawks | 65c | 1,237$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Blackhawks | 65c | 1,125$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.5 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blues | 33c | 1,024$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Blackhawks | 67c | 877.79$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.12 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Blackhawks | 64c | 800$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Blackhawks | 66c | 535.38$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Blackhawks | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blackhawks | 66c | 431.9$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.09 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 64c | 382.07$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blackhawks | 44c | 292.41$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blues | 36c | 271.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.98 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Blackhawks | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Blues | 37c | 213.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Blues | 34c | 211.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Blues | 33c | 203.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Blackhawks | 66c | 198.87$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Blackhawks | 66c | 189.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blackhawks | 68c | 173.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Blackhawks | 64c | 132.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Blues | 36c | 127.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Blackhawks | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 105.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blackhawks | 67c | 74.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Blackhawks | 64c | 69.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Blackhawks | 68c | 63.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Blues | 69c | 62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…78f9backed Blues | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Blackhawks | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Blues | 66c | 59.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Blackhawks | 67c | 51.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blues | 34c | 47.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Blues | 33c | 45.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…7ac1backed Blackhawks | 65c | 43.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Blackhawks | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 39.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blackhawks | 67c | 30.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Blues | 38c | 29.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Blackhawks | 68c | 28.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Blackhawks | 39c | 26.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Blackhawks | 67c | 24.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Blackhawks | 68c | 20.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Blackhawks | 69c | 16.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. BlackhawksBlues won
- Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.