NFL · resolved market
Will the Eagles beat the Falcons by 6 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb98dc073483690b9c57f6c00cf96880b5ea9a9a9e0538c9d2b2f5da16849550b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falconsof Eagles, Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Falcons | 48c | 16,062$7,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,377.22 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Eagles | 54c | 8,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Eagles | 51c | 7,129$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Eagles | 51c | 3,274$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.91 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Falcons | 51c | 1,209$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.94 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Falcons | 46c | 1,170$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.56 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…9d5bbacked Eagles | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…84acbacked Falcons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Falcons | 70c | 842$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.34 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Falcons | 50c | 724.27$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.38 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Eagles | 45c | 699.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Falcons | 50c | 603.96$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.98 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Eagles | 51c | 409.65$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.92 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…a7dcbacked Falcons | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Eagles | 10c | 342$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ed…7b02backed Eagles | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…eff0backed Eagles | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Falcons | 50c | 296.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Eagles | 51c | 250$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede2…b6b4backed Eagles | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Falcons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Eagles | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…6fffbacked Eagles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Eagles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…dfaabacked Falcons | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Falcons | 49c | 183.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Eagles | 50c | 182.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Eagles | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9423…6521backed Falcons | 51c | 118.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…1712backed Eagles | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Eagles | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Eagles | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Falcons | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -12.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Eagles | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Falcons | 50c | 59.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…cff0backed Eagles | 60c | 56.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Falcons | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Falcons | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Eagles | 50c | 47.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Falcons | 60c | 45.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…3800backed Eagles | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…43fcbacked Eagles | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Eagles | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked Eagles | 68c | 15.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Eagles beat the Falcons by 6 or more points?this page
- Will there be 46 or more combined points scored?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.