Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba3f72e35a90ab5deebeb0b314ad3000ccee36911a2f81de919cb994f2887d14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 28,254$13,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,619.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 52c | 17,633$9,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,534.44 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 52c | 4,700$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.99 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 2,886$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.28 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 578.71$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.47 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 53c | 528.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.62 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 53c | 435$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 411.45$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 52c | 339.48$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.42 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 260.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.72 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 48c | 237.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 51c | 220.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 195.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 47c | 194$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 47c | 176.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 48c | 124$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 51c | 97.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 58c | 86.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 42c | 55.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 54c | 30.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 153.5this page
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-1.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Colorado BuffaloesColorado Buffaloes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.