TCU Horned Frogs vs. Colorado Buffaloes

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50bbe8fa662761d1bcc294cb116b4b8b7422e9d6acad87d6c7f17bb7cfca168c

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Colorado Buffaloesof TCU Horned Frogs, Colorado Buffaloes
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,803 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Buffaloes	46c	3,713$1,701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,012.31	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed TCU Horned Frogs	20c	2,928$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.16	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Buffaloes	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed TCU Horned Frogs	54c	1,855$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	133	50.4%67 W · 66 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Buffaloes	62c	1,641$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.17	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed TCU Horned Frogs	54c	1,460$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.09	163	50.9%83 W · 80 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed TCU Horned Frogs	42c	1,045$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.84	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked TCU Horned Frogs	36c	713.76$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.14	157	33.1%52 W · 105 L	-10.9wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed TCU Horned Frogs	55c	528$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.86	1,155	50.4%582 W · 573 L	-34.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed TCU Horned Frogs	23c	427.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	239	41.4%99 W · 140 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked TCU Horned Frogs	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	453	51.4%233 W · 220 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Buffaloes	64c	361.84$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.95	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked TCU Horned Frogs	16c	353.16$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.09	703	49.6%349 W · 354 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b4…e428backed TCU Horned Frogs	57c	346.55$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Colorado Buffaloes	46c	322.33$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.06	974	47.9%467 W · 507 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Colorado Buffaloes	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	195	55.4%108 W · 87 L	+14.4wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Colorado Buffaloes	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Colorado Buffaloes	52c	192$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.16	722	48.8%352 W · 370 L	-23.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed TCU Horned Frogs	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	484	62.8%304 W · 180 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed TCU Horned Frogs	28c	168.98$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.83	668	31.4%210 W · 458 L	-43.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Colorado Buffaloes	47c	159$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.27	814	53.1%432 W · 382 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed TCU Horned Frogs	54c	154.12$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.22	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Colorado Buffaloes	49c	153.55$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.31	583	45.5%265 W · 318 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Colorado Buffaloes	57c	137.53$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.75	998	48.4%483 W · 515 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Colorado Buffaloes	76c	118.84$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.52	1,074	43.3%465 W · 609 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked TCU Horned Frogs	54c	111.11$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4,552	50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L	-36.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Colorado Buffaloes	47c	110$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.3	138	51.4%71 W · 67 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Colorado Buffaloes	47c	106$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.18	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed TCU Horned Frogs	35c	94.18$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.69	1,493	48.7%727 W · 766 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed TCU Horned Frogs	56c	91.27$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ed…86ddbacked TCU Horned Frogs	54c	87.37$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Colorado Buffaloes	50c	83.26$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.74	1,058	55.8%590 W · 468 L	+34.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Buffaloes	71c	80.33$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.11	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado Buffaloes	45c	79.25$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.39	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe23…a8b5backed Colorado Buffaloes	63c	63.49$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.49	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed TCU Horned Frogs	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	143	39.9%57 W · 86 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked TCU Horned Frogs	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	356	46.6%166 W · 190 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado Buffaloes	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	2,194	33.4%733 W · 1,461 L	+19.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado Buffaloes	47c	48$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.44	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Colorado Buffaloes	46c	46.23$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.96	918	48.9%449 W · 469 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Colorado Buffaloes	66c	44.4$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.89	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked TCU Horned Frogs	44c	37.42$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.46	870	47.2%411 W · 459 L	-23.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked TCU Horned Frogs	53c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.61	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ba…4d28backed TCU Horned Frogs	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Colorado Buffaloes	47c	36.01$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.25	92	59.8%55 W · 37 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f1b…0223backed TCU Horned Frogs	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b0…b854backed Colorado Buffaloes	57c	35.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.26	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Colorado Buffaloes	49c	35$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.85	459	53.8%247 W · 212 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Colorado Buffaloes	47c	31$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.56	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked TCU Horned Frogs	53c	30.63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.23	158	51.9%82 W · 76 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed TCU Horned Frogs	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	523	53.5%280 W · 243 L	-17.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed TCU Horned Frogs	53c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.37	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Colorado Buffaloes	47c	29$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.37	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Colorado Buffaloes	53c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	309	45.6%141 W · 168 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed TCU Horned Frogs	53c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Colorado Buffaloes	46c	23.93$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.92	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Colorado Buffaloes	52c	23.35$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.21	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Colorado Buffaloesthis page
Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-1.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 153.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Colorado Buffaloes

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event