TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Ilves Tampere vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,328 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3171…b991backed Over78c2,394$1,872 inWon+$522.453666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Under2c2,041$41 inLost-$40.821827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under24c1,615$382 inLost-$381.771,61138.8%625 W · 986 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under27c1,238$337 inLost-$337.352,47833.9%840 W · 1,638 L-95.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under8c556.33$45 inLost-$44.5132436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over71c521.8$371 inWon+$151.181440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under29c483.25$141 inLost-$140.812,34441.6%976 W · 1,368 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c474.07$102 inLost-$102.083,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over77c389.61$300 inWon+$89.615554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under24c387.32$93 inLost-$92.9657149.6%283 W · 288 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Over60c333.33$200 inWon+$133.332263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over68c230.9$157 inWon+$73.893360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under25c177.43$44 inLost-$44.042,17537.6%817 W · 1,358 L+4.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under8c176.99$14 inLost-$14.1644356.2%249 W · 194 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under24c117.5$28 inLost-$28.28840.9%36 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over67c106$71 inWon+$34.8239052.6%205 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaba…cf38backed Over66c60.6$40 inWon+$20.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x283c…ba51backed Over74c40$30 inWon+$10.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over77c38.96$30 inWon+$8.9620860.1%125 W · 83 L-15.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over79c37.97$30 inWon+$7.9714767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Over76c32.37$25 inWon+$7.775971.2%42 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over71c28$20 inWon+$8.099923.2%23 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over73c27.39$20 inWon+$7.47152.1%37 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.