NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbad829a9dca2e50ebc4775303d917a87d64372d7cb111cfc87adc5d32b803b72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…81aabacked Over | 48c | 2,060$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 854.43$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.51 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 846$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.54 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 43c | 844$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.09 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 746$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.54 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 46c | 526.13$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.02 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Under | 59c | 340$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 49c | 114$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 40c | 91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 89.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 57c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe92…7f3bbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb742…126abacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5this page
- 76ers vs. Bucks76ers won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.