NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcb9e3f1f07c4b4d6a33ac2340da3245ddfb19643f5d1cd7ffe29fab186ef2cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks | 51c | 32,617$16,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,583.4 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed 76ers | 50c | 29,774$14,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,887 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed 76ers | 49c | 27,182$13,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,862.82 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…3651backed Bucks | 50c | 9,800$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Bucks | 50c | 7,200$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cae…f9bebacked Bucks | 50c | 6,839$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…8e9dbacked Bucks | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks | 52c | 5,768$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.35 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 50c | 4,997$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers | 50c | 4,711$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.4 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Bucks | 50c | 2,988$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.02 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed 76ers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers | 48c | 1,507$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.9 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Bucks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked 76ers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked 76ers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed 76ers | 48c | 928.87$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.01 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 50c | 746$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed 76ers | 48c | 718$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.36 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 51c | 692.08$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bucks | 51c | 666$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed 76ers | 50c | 540$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bucks | 5c | 323$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucks | 50c | 319.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Bucks | 51c | 313.11$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 48c | 312.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked 76ers | 54c | 231$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bucks | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked 76ers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks | 51c | 181.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 76ers | 48c | 60.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…6388backed Bucks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed 76ers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…b35abacked 76ers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +8.1wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…d693backed 76ers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Bucks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked 76ers | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Bucks | 54c | 34.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bucks | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed 76ers | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Bucks | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed 76ers | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…1ae8backed 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)this page
- 76ers vs. Bucks76ers won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.