NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5bbdcb28631b1569dc27a6413722bd878885484a1fc7c38469570b91e38aad6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,320$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 48c | 2,107$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.12 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Under | 53c | 2,086$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.36 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…81aabacked Over | 48c | 1,850$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Under | 55c | 1,828$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.61 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 1,483$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.3 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 45c | 807$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.14 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 726.44$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.48 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 54c | 544$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Over | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 55c | 450$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 54c | 368.94$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 325$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Under | 53c | 317.6$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…a988backed Under | 55c | 291$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 47c | 280$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Over | 46c | 215.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 94.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 46c | 49.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…3702backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…3d3abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 53c | 26.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 47c | 21.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5this page
- 76ers vs. Bucks76ers won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.