Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaf6aa44786297af4a58afc523377c68cf6c6ebfa3b1749660b76e43297ffca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 46c | 411$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +204.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 358.42$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…186cbacked Under | 18c | 273.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 24c | 132.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 108.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 36c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 12c | 86.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 79.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…e803backed Over | 32c | 78.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Over | 30c | 70.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 77c | 64.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 57c | 48.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Over | 74c | 31.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Under | 66c | 20.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 76c | 14.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Columbus Crew O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Columbus Crew won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.