TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over25c7,028$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.041216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under62c4,475$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.9198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over53c2,669$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.156339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under75c2,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.661030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Under75c2,100$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.633240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under75c1,982$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.612917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under63c1,074$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.371,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over51c1,015$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.061040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over43c973.6$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.1447240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over32c929$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.286145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under46c844$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.7917137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over31c674.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.256124.6%15 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c660.75$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.633,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under68c645.26$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.485162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under51c567.41$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8448344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over4c539$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.212378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under59c413.22$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3612951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under45c399.3$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4652639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under49c377.8$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2280249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over32c350$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11226450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under73c324.63$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.922839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+142.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over30c299.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over52c284.57$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.116944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c57…1cefbacked Under61c246.32$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c236.79$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.271,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under73c200$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5527344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645050%25 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under50c187.64$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6613464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over30c165.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5414652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over31c144.87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.919742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac86…985bbacked Under69c144.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.45560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under71c141.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over52c140.38$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6418774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under74c132.09$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.341376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.1wins0.00per pick76cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over52c113.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4715676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over53c112.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6319172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over30c104.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over23c101.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.974042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under69c99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6935550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under76c98.41$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0844350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2874…9fd7backed Under56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over59c93.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.435966.1%39 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over59c93.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4312058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over55c88.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9522269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over37c85.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over59c85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1518456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under51c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5220252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under69c71.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0112850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under69c67.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.571,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204639.1%18 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Under75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.675100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Under75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under72c64.13$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.861,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over60c57.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Over31c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.052462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Over42c52.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.536646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under58c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8635247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8921backed Under42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.623748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over56c45.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6319642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bfc…c59abacked Under66c45.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under71c43.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7516456.7%93 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Under74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125525.5%14 W · 41 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under62c37.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5744447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over31c34.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.562454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over59c31.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.867147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under55c29.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.522161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under69c29.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.38624.4%21 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeede…b29ebacked Under68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4831446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under67c23.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7320043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under52c19.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under59c18.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6123350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over59c17.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4812356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under68c17.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.594951%25 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under69c14.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.523256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.