Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b7af8805645c57f39cddb9c078c54c60e91959d4891f105df63f5684a722a96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 25c | 5,762$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.67 | 996 | 45.4%452 W · 544 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 72c | 3,997$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.62 | 1,888 | 36.5%690 W · 1,198 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,036$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 2,212$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.25 | 3,018 | 43.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L | -28.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf844…ee3cbacked Under | 30c | 2,137$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…47e6backed Under | 8c | 1,946$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 35c | 1,613$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.07 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 63c | 1,545$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 76c | 1,529$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 73c | 1,250$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 705 | 49.8%351 W · 354 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 76c | 1,116$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.79 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 37c | 1,054$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.56 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 73c | 708.67$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.34 | 731 | 50.8%371 W · 360 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 76c | 699.61$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.12 | 478 | 40.2%192 W · 286 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 12c | 584.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 28c | 473.79$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 917 | 53.1%487 W · 430 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 9c | 281.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 174 | 37.4%65 W · 109 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 28c | 276$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 532 | 24.1%128 W · 404 L | -24.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 77c | 195.91$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 74c | 167$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 69c | 162.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 72c | 139.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 70c | 119.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 1,306 | 51.2%669 W · 637 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 30c | 95.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 743 | 37.8%281 W · 462 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 29c | 79.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 72c | 71.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 873 | 54.6%477 W · 396 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Under | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 72c | 68.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Over | 74c | 67.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 65c | 66.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 30c | 63.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 404 | 35.4%143 W · 261 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 26c | 50.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1,278 | 47.9%612 W · 666 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 73c | 43.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 28c | 42.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 70c | 41.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 76c | 39.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 72c | 38.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 69c | 19.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 76c | 17.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 70c | 17.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x327f…0641backed Over | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 71c | 14.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Columbus Crew O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Columbus Crew won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.