Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf388df4a4d46f21add2e9864b7b808499765a97d618ca620bd68134cdd65e06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Over | 63c | 1,696$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 69c | 1,610$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 64c | 1,543$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.05 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 1,443$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.49 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Over | 77c | 1,225$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 878.24$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.78 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 31c | 666$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 58c | 455.91$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.21 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 36c | 407.32$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Under | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 247$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 39c | 215.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 58c | 200.44$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Under | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 64c | 154.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 31c | 145.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 138.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 34c | 138.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 49c | 106.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 77c | 101.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 45c | 86.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Over | 64c | 84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over | 53c | 81.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 69.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 30c | 62.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 61.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Under | 47c | 60.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 50c | 59.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 56.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Over | 64c | 38.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 35.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 37c | 32.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 70c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 52c | 22.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 47c | 21.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 68c | 18.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed Over | 64c | 16.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Columbus Crew O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Columbus Crew won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.