Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb281953df220dbce7ee706edb98a57c767b5caef4f452d82d3ea3c5de73d686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,570 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 12c | 25,079$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.47 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 35c | 4,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.97 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 1,241$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.93 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 9c | 1,190$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 13c | 1,157$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 1,095$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.86 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 65c | 951$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.15 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 926.35$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.06 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 79c | 897.26$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 13c | 765.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 12c | 664.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 65c | 658$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.7 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 37c | 590.51$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.02 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 66c | 504.15$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.74 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 423.57$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.32 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 26c | 316.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 35c | 285.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 38c | 247.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed No | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 66c | 171.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.46per pick | 61cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 152.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 65c | 146.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 65c | 113$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 112.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 94.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…1dfcbacked Yes | 35c | 60.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 35c | 50.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 33c | 35.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 29.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7074…f0fdbacked Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will FC Volendam vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.