CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb58e74284a0b77e9c5263932458baae980c394446cfb7c2d64921329cd93ebc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked RUSTEC | 30c | 26,425$7,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,911.93 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 18,313$12,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,494.04 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 7,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed RUSTEC | 29c | 1,326$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.68 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 1,300$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Nuclear TigeRES | 73c | 1,108$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.51 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked RUSTEC | 30c | 838.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed RUSTEC | 29c | 818.86$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.88 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…f1dbbacked RUSTEC | 15c | 401.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 73c | 376.31$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 344.54$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked RUSTEC | 7c | 302.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed RUSTEC | 30c | 246.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed RUSTEC | 30c | 240$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 217$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 79c | 214.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed RUSTEC | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 186.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed RUSTEC | 29c | 174.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 173.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 159.13$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed RUSTEC | 29c | 111.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed RUSTEC | 30c | 100.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed RUSTEC | 30c | 98.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked RUSTEC | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…15e3backed RUSTEC | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 75.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b9…244fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked RUSTEC | 30c | 56.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 35.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 33.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…0debbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 15.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5)Nuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.