CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a944171c2339b0209761395465775f00463bbe8da65eb7c712b33ac66da6fea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked RUSTEC | 59c | 8,488$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.66 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 6,023$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.3 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 1,889$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed RUSTEC | 58c | 758.19$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.36 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Nuclear TigeRES | 43c | 450.71$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.61 | 455 | 65.9%300 W · 155 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…9e29backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 205.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…a59cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 181.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…b7a7backed Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 179.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 146$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Nuclear TigeRES | 40c | 129.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 118.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 113.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b9…244fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 106.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 99.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dec…058cbacked RUSTEC | 56c | 72.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 67.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…983fbacked RUSTEC | 56c | 66.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed RUSTEC | 56c | 66.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed RUSTEC | 58c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed RUSTEC | 59c | 60.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked RUSTEC | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed RUSTEC | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 41.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 504 | 56.5%285 W · 219 L | +17.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked RUSTEC | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 336 | 50%168 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 687 | 49.6%341 W · 346 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed RUSTEC | 59c | 25.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked RUSTEC | 59c | 23.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed RUSTEC | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.