Tennis · resolved market
Sion: Nino Ehrenschneider vs Kai Wehnelt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5f41af214b0bafba1b361763cff2d255f8c5eca995a2f180214f7de3e88d59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kai Wehneltof Nino Ehrenschneider, Kai Wehnelt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 5c | 15,223$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.95 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kai Wehnelt | 72c | 2,086$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.99 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…bbb8backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 6c | 2,005$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 8c | 1,700$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 7c | 1,065$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kai Wehnelt | 80c | 797$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 7c | 694.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 299 | 53.5%160 W · 139 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kai Wehnelt | 57c | 677.77$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.54 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 43c | 600$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.74 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.83 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 7c | 452.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kai Wehnelt | 48c | 435.95$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.6 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kai Wehnelt | 73c | 386.03$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Kai Wehnelt | 57c | 335.09$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.09 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…6735backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 42c | 232.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 42c | 232.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 43c | 232.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 43c | 232.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 43c | 232.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -16.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Kai Wehnelt | 72c | 199.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Kai Wehnelt | 57c | 196.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 501 | 47.7%239 W · 262 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 30c | 139$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 13c | 131.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 421 | 30.2%127 W · 294 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kai Wehnelt | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 964 | 44.2%426 W · 538 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 11c | 117.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 26c | 104.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 40c | 100.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Kai Wehnelt | 57c | 84.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1,002 | 50.2%503 W · 499 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Kai Wehnelt | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 299 | 68.9%206 W · 93 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 25c | 62.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Kai Wehnelt | 67c | 60.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 2,079 | 44.4%923 W · 1,156 L | -52.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Kai Wehnelt | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 31c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 317 | 42.3%134 W · 183 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Kai Wehnelt | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Kai Wehnelt | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Kai Wehnelt | 57c | 42.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,016 | 57.7%586 W · 430 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Kai Wehnelt | 57c | 41.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 40c | 37.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Kai Wehnelt | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 845 | 48.3%408 W · 437 L | +34.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…f51dbacked Kai Wehnelt | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…3e57backed Kai Wehnelt | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Kai Wehnelt | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 41c | 31.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 41c | 31.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kai Wehnelt | 74c | 28.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Kai Wehnelt | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Kai Wehnelt | 60c | 17.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.