Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MODUS vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb91793869b0b3d52f143c523cdee5872d830d670e88149d9c9b165202c092c

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Inner Circleof MODUS, Inner Circle
Resolved: Apr 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $13,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,612 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked MODUS	51c	2,459$1,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,261.09	345	44.3%153 W · 192 L	-15.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle	48c	1,499$719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.4	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Inner Circle	79c	979.43$771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.96	25	80%20 W · 5 L	+3.9wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Inner Circle	77c	752.57$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.16	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed MODUS	48c	698.35$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.21	335	41.2%138 W · 197 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Inner Circle	53c	689.82$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.36	236	53%125 W · 111 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS	25c	666.53$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.59	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Inner Circle	52c	636.73$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.4	779	41.1%320 W · 459 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed MODUS	22c	597.01$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.34	233	42.9%100 W · 133 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8681…ef99backed MODUS	43c	541.2$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.42	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Inner Circle	52c	540.9$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.55	255	47.8%122 W · 133 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed MODUS	46c	514.24$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.6	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Inner Circle	57c	475.41$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.43	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed MODUS	46c	410.71$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.03	971	42.7%415 W · 556 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed MODUS	49c	398.63$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.33	494	55.1%272 W · 222 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Inner Circle	52c	386.68$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.26	562	43.2%243 W · 319 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed Inner Circle	77c	363.55$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.71	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Inner Circle	55c	350.42$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.04	91	56%51 W · 40 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Inner Circle	69c	302.25$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.24	470	46.6%219 W · 251 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Inner Circle	54c	290.84$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.23	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked MODUS	46c	290.28$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.53	210	45.7%96 W · 114 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MODUS	46c	276.64$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.08	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed MODUS	49c	227.63$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.54	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Inner Circle	48c	217.08$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.83	241	38.6%93 W · 148 L	-18.0wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked MODUS	28c	207.81$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.39	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MODUS	23c	198.68$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.91	1,164	47.2%549 W · 615 L	-29.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MODUS	23c	190.43$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.8	785	16.6%130 W · 655 L	-135.4wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Inner Circle	55c	168.06$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.63	713	42.5%303 W · 410 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked MODUS	45c	150$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	253	48.6%123 W · 130 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b4…748abacked MODUS	38c	150$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	130	26.2%34 W · 96 L	-15.9wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed MODUS	46c	149.98$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.99	536	34%182 W · 354 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed MODUS	14c	122.42$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.43	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MODUS	43c	110.47$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.71	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed MODUS	48c	110$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x374f…4a23backed Inner Circle	51c	106.64$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.41	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Inner Circle	52c	100.04$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.99	147	44.2%65 W · 82 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Inner Circle	52c	99.99$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	228	45.6%104 W · 124 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Inner Circle	56c	94.37$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.52	75	65.3%49 W · 26 L	+6.2wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Inner Circle	77c	88.82$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.84	515	50.9%262 W · 253 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MODUS	25c	83.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.44	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Inner Circle	61c	80.05$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Inner Circle	72c	76.34$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.28	361	38.2%138 W · 223 L	-20.4wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed Inner Circle	50c	67.9$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.95	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked MODUS	27c	60$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.05	372	23.1%86 W · 286 L	-38.2wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked MODUS	52c	56.03$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.14	913	56.1%512 W · 401 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9033…bd50backed MODUS	20c	55$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Inner Circle	76c	53.64$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.89	209	54.5%114 W · 95 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked MODUS	28c	51.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed MODUS	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Inner Circle	55c	43.79$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-4.8wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed Inner Circle	56c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	127	59.8%76 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked Inner Circle	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	147	62.6%92 W · 55 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed Inner Circle	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	132	59.8%79 W · 53 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Inner Circle	50c	38.04$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.02	446	45.7%204 W · 242 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Inner Circle	53c	37.43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.62	131	52.7%69 W · 62 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Inner Circle	47c	29.05$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.39	479	51.8%248 W · 231 L	+17.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Inner Circle	55c	25.25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	229	45.9%105 W · 124 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Inner Circle	51c	22.32$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.94	253	49.4%125 W · 128 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Inner Circle	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed MODUS	52c	19.42$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Inner Circle	56c	18.62$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.19	164	56.7%93 W · 71 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: MODUS vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
Dota 2: MODUS vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
Dota 2: MODUS vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: MODUS vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event