Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd11420de0f1d7b7d212e00b81ebaedf26b24d6ede58e4a6772cb61f4643cd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc239…6459backed No | 8c | 1,873$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 27c | 362.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 50c | 284.54$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 41c | 230.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 37c | 181.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 60c | 168.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 54c | 165.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 151.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 55c | 143.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked Yes | 39c | 138.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5659backed Yes | 78c | 130$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 130$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 60c | 128.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 45c | 125.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 62c | 120.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 23c | 103.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 102.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…78a6backed Yes | 40c | 101.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…2c6dbacked Yes | 58c | 98.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked Yes | 63c | 93.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 79c | 93.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 36c | 90.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…7080backed No | 61c | 90.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 42c | 90.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 43c | 84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…e55ebacked Yes | 58c | 82.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 51c | 69.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 46c | 68.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 68.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 47c | 67.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 65c | 60.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…942dbacked No | 57c | 60.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…0d2abacked No | 58c | 57.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 65c | 54.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…0c43backed Yes | 39c | 53.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 37c | 53.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 56c | 53.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 44c | 52.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 50.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…8ac5backed No | 47c | 49.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ee…31aebacked Yes | 79c | 49.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 79c | 49.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…573fbacked No | 62c | 48.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 50c | 47.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…f822backed Yes | 41c | 47.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 194 | 30.4%59 W · 135 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…6938backed No | 58c | 44.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 42c | 43.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b81…82dbbacked Yes | 48c | 42.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 75c | 41.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 73c | 39.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 48c | 38.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…6aaebacked Yes | 43c | 35.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 70c | 34.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 43c | 33.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 57c | 32.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 53c | 31.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea0…8e3bbacked Yes | 65c | 31.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…b286backed Yes | 36c | 30.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…b861backed No | 63c | 29.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc342…c744backed No | 60c | 28.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…e245backed Yes | 69c | 27.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 86 | 76.7%66 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 40c | 26.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e23…bedcbacked No | 59c | 25.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 53c | 24.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed No | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69a…90f7backed Yes | 46c | 23.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed Yes | 70c | 23.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 46c | 22.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…961fbacked No | 68c | 21.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be4…3128backed No | 60c | 21.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…c875backed No | 58c | 19.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…27f9backed No | 72c | 19.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…5fbebacked Yes | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…910bbacked Yes | 69c | 19.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…920dbacked Yes | 59c | 19.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 63c | 18.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…8a4cbacked Yes | 79c | 18.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…e1b0backed Yes | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 76c | 17.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…89bcbacked Yes | 73c | 17.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 77c | 16.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 80c | 14.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.