Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Open Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcd9d6664d86b4b0e36cdb86b32d2ccbd1c54b37148d7284a6c0f0e88fdbc92d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mentality Monsterof Yangon Galacticos, Mentality Monster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b58…3474backed Yangon Galacticos | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yangon Galacticos | 48c | 866.26$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.79 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 64c | 826.3$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.08 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yangon Galacticos | 9c | 703.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Mentality Monster | 54c | 424.63$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Mentality Monster | 51c | 407.22$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Yangon Galacticos | 47c | 329.86$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.45 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed Yangon Galacticos | 41c | 287.38$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Mentality Monster | 45c | 284.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.71 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…744fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 55c | 232.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Mentality Monster | 25c | 217.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Mentality Monster | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18bc…b423backed Mentality Monster | 54c | 192.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Yangon Galacticos | 55c | 182.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Mentality Monster | 66c | 179.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Mentality Monster | 70c | 171.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Yangon Galacticos | 18c | 152.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Yangon Galacticos | 59c | 151.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe31…71a1backed Mentality Monster | 65c | 149.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Mentality Monster | 48c | 145.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 71c | 140.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yangon Galacticos | 14c | 131.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Mentality Monster | 62c | 116.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Mentality Monster | 53c | 116$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Mentality Monster | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…e3c7backed Mentality Monster | 61c | 86.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Yangon Galacticos | 13c | 85.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Yangon Galacticos | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Mentality Monster | 53c | 79.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679a…9465backed Yangon Galacticos | 71c | 64.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…14fcbacked Mentality Monster | 60c | 48.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked Mentality Monster | 64c | 46.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked Mentality Monster | 31c | 45.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Mentality Monster | 48c | 38.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Mentality Monster | 62c | 32.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 40c | 32.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Mentality Monster | 65c | 30.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Yangon Galacticos | 68c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…db07backed Yangon Galacticos | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Yangon Galacticos | 54c | 29.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Mentality Monster | 59c | 27.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Mentality Monster | 46c | 26.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7a…91d9backed Mentality Monster | 58c | 25.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…2924backed Yangon Galacticos | 50c | 23.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Yangon Galacticos | 59c | 22.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ef…549abacked Mentality Monster | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0855…32debacked Yangon Galacticos | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…7a55backed Mentality Monster | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.