MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcfa52939b13bb5ad2a4d05ff19284aeae0a9992e8345c725f6b7309c176dced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angelsof Blue Jays, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 19,860$12,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,710.4 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Angels | 47c | 14,901$6,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,903.66 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels | 36c | 10,113$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.07 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 5,221$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.04 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 38c | 2,032$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Angels | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.3 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Angels | 46c | 1,402$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Angels | 29c | 1,380$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.34 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Angels | 74c | 969.94$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.68 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 784$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.08 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blue Jays | 1c | 750.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Angels | 47c | 718.45$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.31 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 716.36$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.84 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 700$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Blue Jays | 50c | 691.64$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.71 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 34c | 688.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.99 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Blue Jays | 53c | 668.92$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.53 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Angels | 40c | 641.72$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 34c | 509.2$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.8 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays | 75c | 507$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.39 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 458.81$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.17 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Blue Jays | 5c | 400.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…1e8abacked Blue Jays | 48c | 357$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Angels | 16c | 328.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Blue Jays | 71c | 323$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.33 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Angels | 13c | 287$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.06 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Angels | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Blue Jays | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Angels | 46c | 181.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Blue Jays | 53c | 132$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 105.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Blue Jays | 51c | 88.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Angels | 13c | 78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Blue Jays | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Blue Jays | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…d49ebacked Angels | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Angels | 50c | 42.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Blue Jays | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 54c | 37.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Blue Jays | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Angels | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.