TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Rangers, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa983…46a3backed Mets66c90,890$60,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,813.6411345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers31c13,584$4,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,253.992,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rangers36c12,343$4,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,387.0178445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers36c12,170$4,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,341.5738751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers37c11,594$4,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,239.361,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Rangers37c8,822$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.8321847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Rangers38c5,009$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.422642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers35c4,221$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.371,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers39c3,857$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.282,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…74b8backed Mets62c3,400$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2923452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Mets61c3,299$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.82650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Rangers38c3,240$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.9515642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Mets61c2,672$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.0824253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers38c2,353$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.2512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Rangers32c1,626$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52657744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers20c1,397$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7154941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Mets66c1,068$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.4976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers39c1,025$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.751,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mets60c988$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.21,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Rangers39c974$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.8617045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers38c940$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5da…d89ebacked Rangers21c932.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers39c900$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rangers39c834.87$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.61,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers38c739$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8263152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Rangers38c686$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6812436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers39c671.81$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.564,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Mets64c654$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4468769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers16c594.02$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.849,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rangers12c583.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9927213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rangers38c547$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8644443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rangers39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Rangers42c500$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2087642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Rangers31c436$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1645248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers18c407.24$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers12c306$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.721,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rangers27c284.84$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Rangers38c283.04$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5610527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c59…ad51backed Mets62c274.19$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1921545.6%98 W · 117 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers33c273.07$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7670841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Mets55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7321748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Mets60c262.51$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rangers40c262.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec0dbacked Rangers39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers38c249.97$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Mets61c243.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9910451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rangers32c241.84$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.396,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers39c233$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.871,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rangers36c203.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.736,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Rangers36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4540352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Rangers36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3713…14e8backed Mets62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x245f…b6d7backed Mets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcff…0e58backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785048%24 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7623…565dbacked Mets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0f…f1dcbacked Mets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef60…c2a7backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac3…fd57backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473f…7be5backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed2…1bfabacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0819…daa2backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbe…798bbacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785038%19 W · 31 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4767…3838backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6679…ceb7backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb35d…27b8backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a04…dbe9backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ceb…489fbacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785044%22 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2c0…10b0backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785040%20 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02cc…dc16backed Mets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…935dbacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61a…d19cbacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0609…8fdebacked Mets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b46…f029backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6f…4119backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff1b…feaebacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa7…eda6backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785151%26 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a0…4623backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd1…91ddbacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d68…6d8abacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785052%26 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57b…da2ebacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24cb…4cedbacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaecb…15b4backed Mets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785058%29 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…d3ecbacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfffb…e4d0backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785149%25 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…646cbacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x686f…1c9abacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282d…8af7backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8574…df83backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed34…278ebacked Mets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785044%22 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc72…0188backed Mets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2574…9e78backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fec…a7b4backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3e…07ebbacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc711…092ebacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c3…5167backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc246…5addbacked Mets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79fb…6458backed Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785437%20 W · 34 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3eb0…9c5cbacked Rangers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.