Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gdansk: Mina Hodzic vs Anastasiya Sobolieva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe3c198cd67f8f62fcbb94ee8f019975c7a262d1714d32c87eebfab2b73b1271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasiya Sobolievaof Mina Hodzic, Anastasiya Sobolieva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Mina Hodzic | 21c | 5,068$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.84 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…788bbacked Mina Hodzic | 33c | 1,182$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 79c | 1,036$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.78 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 75c | 908$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Mina Hodzic | 20c | 620$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Mina Hodzic | 25c | 506.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 67c | 420.14$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 71c | 415.77$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 75c | 412.21$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mina Hodzic | 29c | 406.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 71c | 324.03$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 78c | 317.59$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mina Hodzic | 8c | 273.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 79c | 272.53$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Mina Hodzic | 17c | 254.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed Mina Hodzic | 33c | 209.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…64e4backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 70c | 134.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Mina Hodzic | 11c | 124.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Mina Hodzic | 32c | 111.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Mina Hodzic | 22c | 111$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…b64bbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 70c | 97.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mina Hodzic | 15c | 92.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mina Hodzic | 16c | 78.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 76c | 74.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 69c | 72.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 69c | 45.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 70c | 43.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 80c | 42.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 71c | 35.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 70c | 34.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 77c | 33.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 73c | 27.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 70c | 23.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 70c | 21.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Gdansk: Mina Hodzic vs Anastasiya Sobolievathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Hodzic vs SobolievaSobolieva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.