Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbea498cf42e5634eab2a045c253469c42bbf6b5f9f4c8d06337e045ccc72859b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 31c | 4,900$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.99 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 69c | 1,705$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.44 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 69c | 814.83$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.83 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 69c | 730$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 69c | 567.39$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.89 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 71c | 543.93$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 69c | 490$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Over | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Over | 69c | 246.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 68c | 204$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 32c | 175$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 116.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 25c | 111$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 50c | 93.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 74c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Under | 51c | 70.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 49c | 70.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab53…f5b2backed Under | 33c | 67.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 74c | 58.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 49c | 46.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 78c | 43.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 32c | 43.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 38.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 36c | 36.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 69c | 34.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Over | 69c | 24.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 66c | 17.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5)Nongshim Esports Academy won
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+2.5)Nongshim Esports Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters PlayoffsT1 Academy won
- LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 3 WinnerNongshim Esports Academy won
- LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 4 WinnerNongshim Esports Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.