Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Bradley Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf00aa982c54259d6f7d161688ad5613b8c2192d8788f84191e11961fc05d1a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bradley Bravesof Northern Iowa Panthers, Bradley Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 25c | 924.43$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bradley Braves | 68c | 884.63$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 40c | 789$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.72 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bradley Braves | 60c | 740.19$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.81 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bradley Braves | 71c | 510.81$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 51c | 368.51$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 50c | 230.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bradley Braves | 53c | 186.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bradley Braves | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bradley Braves | 62c | 118.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 36c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bradley Braves | 65c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 29c | 79.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 36c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 29c | 76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 38c | 49.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 32c | 42.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bradley Braves | 65c | 41.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Bradley Braves | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Bradley Braves | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Bradley Braves | 66c | 25.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb038…ff5fbacked Bradley Braves | 62c | 22.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Bradley Bravesthis page
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 128.5Over won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 129.5Over won
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-4.5)Bradley Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.